Trump Humiliated as Markets Bet Against His Iran War

Prediction markets are not convinced President Donald Trump’s war in Iran will quickly topple its regime.

Polymarket gives the United States and Israel only a 28 percent chance of ousting Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei by March 31—and only a 51 percent chance of toppling the regime by the year’s end, according to figures as of late Saturday morning.

The odds of regime change in Iran spiked after the United States struck the country early Saturday morning—but likely not as high as the White House would have liked. / Polymarket

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