Vice President JD Vance’s path to the Oval Office may not be as clear as once thought.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio has passed Vance on Kalshi as the favorite to win the 2028 presidential election—a massive surge from this time a year ago when he trailed the VP by 25 points.
Vance remains the slight favorite to win the GOP nomination on Kalshi, with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis trailing in a distant third, but Rubio is now the favorite to win the general election. His 16 percent chance narrowly edges Vance’s 15 percent. Democratic California Gov. Gavin Newsom is in third place at 11 percent.
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