Polling shows Democrats may not be on track for the trouncing they are hoping to give Republicans in the midterm election, according to a new analysis by CNN data guru Harry Enten.
Right now, polling averages show Democrats five points ahead of Republicans in the overall race to control Congress. However, that margin is smaller than at the same point in the last two midterm election cycles where a Republican held the White House.
During the 2018 midterms, which happened in the middle of President Donald Trump’s first term, Democrats held an eight-point lead in generic congressional polls at this point. In 2006, with the Iraq war tanking President George W. Bush’s popularity, Democrats notched an 11-point advantage.
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